Forum: empire-en
Board: [590] Ideas, Suggestions & Feedback
Topic: [371163] Make Foreign Lords Great Again!!!
[-371163]
dliu3 (US1) [US1]
:: Feb. 4, 2020, 1:13 a.m.
I'm fed up with this...
https://prnt.sc/qx4ure
this...
https://prnt.sc/qx4v0l
and this...
https://prnt.sc/qx4v8l
The CMs tell me "bad luck"... but I've taken discrete math. Let's set a few assumptions:
Foreign Invasion/Bloodcrows runs about 4 times a month
I hit about 10 castles each round.
The chance of getting a "good" castle (2k or more actual defenders, not attacker troops) is 5% (probably lower but whatever)
Then, as my last "good" FL showed up a month ago, I have hit about 40 castles between then and now. Maybe more. The probability that NONE of those are "good" is (0.95)^(40)=12.8%.
Now, consider the last two "good" FL hits. The second to last one was about 2 months ago. So the probability of getting 0 or 1 FLs that are "good" is (0.95)^80 + 80 * (0.95)^79 * (0.05) = 0.016 + 0.070 = 0.086. So there is an 8.6% chance that I should only get 0 or 1 FLs that are good.
Keeping going... I've gotten maybe 5 FL hits that are "good" over the last year. You can do the math. Is it my bad luck, or your Random Number Generator?
https://prnt.sc/qx4ure
this...
https://prnt.sc/qx4v0l
and this...
https://prnt.sc/qx4v8l
The CMs tell me "bad luck"... but I've taken discrete math. Let's set a few assumptions:
Foreign Invasion/Bloodcrows runs about 4 times a month
I hit about 10 castles each round.
The chance of getting a "good" castle (2k or more actual defenders, not attacker troops) is 5% (probably lower but whatever)
Then, as my last "good" FL showed up a month ago, I have hit about 40 castles between then and now. Maybe more. The probability that NONE of those are "good" is (0.95)^(40)=12.8%.
Now, consider the last two "good" FL hits. The second to last one was about 2 months ago. So the probability of getting 0 or 1 FLs that are "good" is (0.95)^80 + 80 * (0.95)^79 * (0.05) = 0.016 + 0.070 = 0.086. So there is an 8.6% chance that I should only get 0 or 1 FLs that are good.
Keeping going... I've gotten maybe 5 FL hits that are "good" over the last year. You can do the math. Is it my bad luck, or your Random Number Generator?
[5098545]
bernhardt (US1) [US1]
:: Feb. 4, 2020, 5:45 a.m.
It's their generator since just about everybody gets the same garbage.
[5098609]
Experiment_626 (US1) [US1]
:: Feb. 4, 2020, 2:48 p.m.
They want you to hit more than 10 FLs before you get good glory. Do you hit any other event only 10 times?
[5098615]
danseriously (IN1) [IN1]
:: Feb. 4, 2020, 3:49 p.m.
sorry ^^
[5098669]
LegendaryKing73 (GB1) [GB1]
:: Feb. 4, 2020, 8:21 p.m.
Very impressive hit Dan. How many waves did you use (i'm guessing 7) and what was your comm like (guessing it was a relic comm.)danseriously (IN1) said:sorry ^^
[5098842]
dliu3 (US1) [US1]
:: Feb. 5, 2020, 4:58 p.m.
I've hit FLs almost 20-30 times before without getting good glory.Experiment_626 (US1) said:They want you to hit more than 10 FLs before you get good glory. Do you hit any other event only 10 times?
[5098895]
Dudester (INT1) [INT1]
:: Feb. 5, 2020, 7:18 p.m.
Hit some more then 
[5099123]
UD1 (INT1) [INT1]
:: Feb. 7, 2020, 9:58 a.m.
Why they will never change Fori or Bloodcrow
If they change it nothing would change we all be same . yes we may get good glory but the top few with most glory will never change we will always be behind them , and that is just facts of this Game so if you want more glory and a few more titles then thats fine , but you will never beat the money spenders, and that has never been a problem for me , in life we all know are place in the food chain , although i could spend a butt load of money, but choose not to.
2 It is designed like all events those who spend them most will be Victorious good for them there money they can do what they want with it.
But if International 1 realy want to spend money they should make a unique team to fight in the Horizon event just to give the German a run for there money, because this event is totally one sided
anyway guys dont lose any sleep over events just do what you can , because in the scheme of things it do not matter.
If they change it nothing would change we all be same . yes we may get good glory but the top few with most glory will never change we will always be behind them , and that is just facts of this Game so if you want more glory and a few more titles then thats fine , but you will never beat the money spenders, and that has never been a problem for me , in life we all know are place in the food chain , although i could spend a butt load of money, but choose not to.
2 It is designed like all events those who spend them most will be Victorious good for them there money they can do what they want with it.
But if International 1 realy want to spend money they should make a unique team to fight in the Horizon event just to give the German a run for there money, because this event is totally one sided
anyway guys dont lose any sleep over events just do what you can , because in the scheme of things it do not matter.
[5099216]
Wasso (INT3) [INT3]
:: Feb. 8, 2020, 5:07 a.m.
While not up to @danseriously (IN1) level, they are still out there.
Not bad for 4 waves, and event banners...……..
Not bad for 4 waves, and event banners...……..